Dear fellow members of UKIP (and others concerned about the UK's relationship with the EU),
Mutual disillusionment has been a feature of the relationship between Britain and Europe for centuries. We sometimes talk of our ‘splendid isolation’ and they describe us ‘perfidious Albion’. David Cameron’s veto of the so-called ‘fiscal union treaty’ has created a massive problem for the other members of the European Union, if those 26 countries respect the existing treaties. According to those treaties, unanimity is required for the EU to encroach further on such a basic prerogative of the nation state as the power to tax. But all the signs are that the other 26 countries – although disunited on a host of vital institutional details – are united in their irritation with the British government for resisting another EU power grab. There has to be a possibility that the other 26 countries disregard the treaties. They may try to impose new arrangements, which are meant to undermine the British government’s right to determine our tax system and tax rates, and to collect taxes to be spent on behalf of the British taxpayer.
This would be, in effect, an invasion of our country. Sure enough, the invasion will not be conducted by means of warships, aircraft and missiles, but it would be an invasion all the same. Our EU neighbours must be made to understand that a power grab on such lines is unacceptable. They may be thinking of using the deplorable and obnoxious passerelle clause in the Lisbon Treaty, which would wholly bypass the views of the Houses of Parliament and the British people. The clause says that the European Council can unanimously decide to replace unanimous voting in the Council of Ministers by qualified majority voting in specified areas.
This may sound like gobbledygook. In fact, the passerelle clause is a mischievous set of words by which Eurocrats, and the likes of Merkel and Sarkozy, steal our country’s independence. They really do plan to replace government from Westminster and Whitehall by government from Brussels, Paris, etc. If push comes to shove, the British government will have to seek the support of the British people in a clear and emphatic expression of public opinion, probably in a referendum. If so, the Cameron veto may have initiated a process which culminates in our withdrawal from the EU. At any rate, it does seem reasonable to talk of the beginning of the end of our EU membership.
(Traditionally, a general election would have been called if the government could not do its ordinary business and command majorities in the House of Commons. The Conservatives and LibDems are now at each other’s throats, and the survival of the Coalition is in doubt. But – almost hilariously – since September 2011 the timing of UK general elections is determined by the Fixed-term Act, which says that elections are to be held at regular five-year intervals, unless the government of the day loses a Commons vote of confidence. Since neither Labour nor the LibDems want an early general election centred on the European issue, a bizarre prospect may be for Conservatives to side against the government in a confidence vote in order to expedite an election, while Labour and LibDems vote for the government in order to prevent an election!)
Two supporters of the UK Independence Party in Bournemouth, Alan and Marilyn Day, very kindly suggested filming a video of my thoughts on the Eurozone mess. It was prepared some days before the Cameron veto:
I am hugely grateful to the Days for their interest and support, and – if it goes well – we may make this a regular “fireside chat” slot for UKIP members. I should warn you that the video was unscripted and unrehearsed. The last few weeks have been so busy I did not have time to prepare it properly. All the same, I hope it is helpful to the wider cause and we will improve the production etc. with time. The video should be seen in conjunction with the two attached PDFs.
Thank heaven the UK kept the pound. And thank heaven that, ultimately, even a drip like ‘Cast-Iron Cameron’ understands that the British government’s power of taxation cannot be handed over to an alien bureaucracy operating in a foreign capital.
Tim Congdon